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Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories

Autor
Chrząszcz Marcin
Zhang Yang
Wu Lei
Wienemann Peter
White Martin
Weiglein Georg
Vincent Aaron C
Valli Mauro
Abeele Jeriek Van den
Punktacja ministerialna
200
Data publikacji
Abstrakt (EN)

Physical theories that depend on many parameters or are tested against data from many different experiments pose unique challenges to statistical inference. Many models in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology fall into one or both of these categories. These issues are often sidestepped with statistically unsound ad hoc methods, involving intersection of parameter intervals estimated by multiple experiments, and random or grid sampling of model parameters. Whilst these methods are easy to apply, they exhibit pathologies even in low-dimensional parameter spaces, and quickly become problematic to use and interpret in higher dimensions. In this article we give clear guidance for going beyond these procedures, suggesting where possible simple methods for performing statistically sound inference, and recommendations of readily-available software tools and standards that can assist in doing so. Our aim is to provide any physicists lacking comprehensive statistical training with recommendations for reaching correct scientific conclusions, with only a modest increase in analysis burden. Our examples can be reproduced with the code publicly available at Zenodo.

Dyscyplina PBN
nauki fizyczne
Czasopismo
Reports on Progress in Physics
Tom
85
Zeszyt
5
Strony od-do
52201
ISSN
0034-4885
Data udostępnienia w otwartym dostępie
2020-12-17
Licencja otwartego dostępu
Inna