Determinanty popytu i wydatków publicznych na opiekę długoterminową – doświadczenia Polski na tle Europy

Determinants of demand and expenditures on the long-term care – European experience and the case of Poland Expected changes in terms of demand and costs of long-term care (LTC) are unequivocally shown in a broad empirical literature. Th ose changes result both from demographic phenomena (ageing, epidemiology) as well as from social and economic processes, including labour market transformations and institutional arrangements of care systems. Against this background this chapter provides an econometric model explaining patterns on LTC spending in the EU context and presents future scenarios for Poland. On this basis authors claim that (relative) spending on LTC in Poland will increase signifi cantly and this change should be even larger assuming changes in the LTC system architecture.