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Conditional Risk based on multivariate Hazard Scenarios

Autor
Bernardi, Mauro
Durante, Fabrizio
Petrella, Lea
Salvadori, Gianfausto
Jaworski, Piotr
Data publikacji
2018
Abstrakt (EN)

We present a novel methodology to compute conditional risk measures when the conditioning event depends on a number of random variables. Specifically, given a random vector (X,Y), we consider risk measures that express the risk of Y given that X assumes values in an extreme multidimensional region. In particular, the considered risky regions are related to the AND, OR, Kendall and Survival Kendall hazard scenarios that are commonly used in environmental literature. Several closed formulas are considered (especially in the AND and OR scenarios). An application to spatial risk analysis involving real data is discussed

Dyscyplina PBN
matematyka
Czasopismo
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
Tom
32
Strony od-do
203–211
ISSN
1436-3240
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