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Structural labour market change, cognitive work, and entry to parenthood in Germany

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dc.abstract.enTechnological change and globalization have caused unprecedented transformations of labour markets, resulting in a growing division between workers who perform cognitive vs non-cognitive tasks. To date, only few studies have addressed the fertility effects of these long-term structural changes. This study fills that gap. We measure the cognitive task content of occupations using data from the Employment Survey of the German Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training, which we link to individual histories from the German Socio-Economic Panel 1984–2018. We find that women and men with non-cognitive jobs are increasingly less likely to enter parenthood; this is reflected in lower first-birth intensities but also in higher probabilities of childlessness compared with workers in highly cognitive jobs. These findings imply that structural shifts in the labour market are exacerbating disparities between low-skilled and highly skilled individuals, not only within the labour market but also in the realm of family formation.
dc.affiliationUniwersytet Warszawski
dc.affiliation.departmentWydział Nauk Ekonomicznych
dc.affiliation.otherSzkoła Doktorska Nauk Społecznych
dc.affiliation.otherKatedra Ekonomii Ludności i Demografii
dc.contributor.authorBogusz, Honorata
dc.contributor.authorMatysiak, Anna
dc.contributor.authorKreyenfeld, Michaela
dc.date.access2024-08-13
dc.date.accessioned2025-04-23T11:56:09Z
dc.date.available2025-04-23T11:56:09Z
dc.date.copyright2024-08-13
dc.date.issued2024-08-13
dc.description.accesstimeat_publication
dc.description.financepublication_nocost
dc.description.fininstitutionEuropean Research Council (ERC)
dc.description.fininstitutionEuropean Union’s Horizon 2020
dc.description.grantnumberNo. 866270
dc.description.granttitleGlobalization- and Technology-Driven Labour Market Change and Fertility
dc.description.numberahead of print
dc.description.versionfinal_published
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/00324728.2024.2372018#d1e129
dc.identifier.issn0032-4728
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8883-3925
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7089-4893
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9420-3818
dc.identifier.urihttps://repozytorium.uw.edu.pl//handle/item/166351
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00324728.2024.2372018
dc.languageen
dc.pbn.affiliationeconomics and finance
dc.relation.documentshttps://labfam.uw.edu.pl/projects/globalization-and-technology-driven-labour-market-change-and-fertility-labfer-erc-consolidator-grant-pi-anna-matysiak/
dc.relation.documentshttps://labfer.uw.edu.pl/
dc.relation.ispartofPopulation Studies
dc.relation.pagesahead of print
dc.rightsCC-BY
dc.rights.weblinkhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.pl
dc.sciencecloudnosend
dc.share.typeOPEN_JOURNAL
dc.subject.enstructural labour market change
dc.subject.encognitive work
dc.subject.entask content of work
dc.subject.enfertility
dc.subject.enGermany
dc.titleStructural labour market change, cognitive work, and entry to parenthood in Germany
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication