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Artificial Neural Networks Performance in WIG20 Index Options Pricing

cris.lastimport.scopus2024-02-12T20:56:18Z
dc.abstract.enIn this paper, the performance of artificial neural networks in option pricing was analyzed and compared with the results obtained from the Black–Scholes–Merton model, based on the historical volatility. The results were compared based on various error metrics calculated separately between three moneyness ratios. The market data-driven approach was taken to train and test the neural network on the real-world options data from 2009 to 2019, quoted on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The artificial neural network did not provide more accurate option prices, even though its hyperparameters were properly tuned. The Black–Scholes–Merton model turned out to be more precise and robust to various market conditions. In addition, the bias of the forecasts obtained from the neural network differed significantly between moneyness states. This study provides an initial insight into the application of deep learning methods to pricing options in emerging markets with low liquidity and high volatility.
dc.affiliationUniwersytet Warszawski
dc.contributor.authorWysocki, Maciej
dc.contributor.authorŚlepaczuk, Robert
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-24T16:56:33Z
dc.date.available2024-01-24T16:56:33Z
dc.date.copyright2021-12-24
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.accesstimeAT_PUBLICATION
dc.description.financeŚrodki finansowe, o których mowa w art. 365 pkt. 2 ustawy
dc.description.number35
dc.description.versionFINAL_PUBLISHED
dc.description.volume24
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/E24010035
dc.identifier.issn1099-4300
dc.identifier.urihttps://repozytorium.uw.edu.pl//handle/item/101157
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/24/1/35/pdf
dc.languageeng
dc.pbn.affiliationeconomics and finance
dc.relation.ispartofEntropy
dc.relation.pages1-19
dc.rightsCC-BY
dc.sciencecloudnosend
dc.subject.enoption pricing
dc.subject.enartificial neural networks
dc.subject.enimplied volatility
dc.subject.ensupervised learning
dc.subject.enindex options
dc.subject.enBlack–Scholes–Merton model
dc.titleArtificial Neural Networks Performance in WIG20 Index Options Pricing
dc.typeReviewArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication