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Teoria "czarnego łabędzia" a przewidywanie kryzysów i katastrof

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dc.abstract.enThe main objective of this paper is to present the black swan theory to analyse contemporary threats related to the cybersecurity domain. The aim of conducted works is to develop design assumptions justifying the need to obtain effective tools for monitoring crises and disasters. Their characteristic is that they appear unexpectedly and very rarely, therefore they are situated at the very end of the tail of the probability distribution. The main thesis of the work stands that ICT is not only the perpetrator of crises and disasters but can also help to build an effective and efficient tool for analysing threats. The progress of civilization and development of ICT in Poland brings the country more and more exposed to the threats described in the black swan theory. The conclusion of the research is the statement that shows and explains the need for building an early warning system to prevent the Black Swan phenomenon.
dc.affiliationUniwersytet Warszawski
dc.contributor.authorKisielnicki, Jerzy
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-26T09:43:18Z
dc.date.available2024-01-26T09:43:18Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.financeŚrodki finansowe, o których mowa w art. 365 pkt. 2 ustawy
dc.description.number4
dc.identifier.issn0137-7221
dc.identifier.urihttps://repozytorium.uw.edu.pl//handle/item/121686
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://przegladorganizacji.pl/artykul/2021/10.33141po.2021.04.03
dc.languagepol
dc.pbn.affiliationmanagement and quality studies
dc.relation.ispartofPRZEGLĄD ORGANIZACJI
dc.relation.pages23-31
dc.rightsClosedAccess
dc.sciencecloudnosend
dc.subject.enICT
dc.subject.enBlack Swans
dc.subject.ensystem monitoring
dc.subject.encrises and disasters
dc.subject.encyberwar
dc.subject.encyberspace
dc.titleTeoria "czarnego łabędzia" a przewidywanie kryzysów i katastrof
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication